Is it a Good Time to Buy a House?

It's a constant question now in the real estateyour lifetime (no matter how old you are). Our own
market: Is it a good time to buy a house? Of courserate is 4.5%. That's not a variable or "teaser rate." It
it is difficult to answer in an article since you may beis fixed for the thirty years of the loan.
reading this years after it is written, when conditionsLet's look at why this matters so much - as long as
have changed. But whenever you find this article, theyou plan to stay in the house for a while, as we do.
following three crucial factors are what you'll want toSuppose you pass on a house that is selling for
look at to answer the question for yourself.$200,000 and waited a couple years while prices fall
Home Valuesanother 10%. But suppose that at that time interest
At the moment, the first thing most people arerates were up around 7.5%. You buy the house for
wondering when they ask if it's a good time to buy a$180,000. The payment (assuming you have a 10%
house, is whether prices have finally stopped falling.down payment and borrow $162,000) is $1,132 each
Since a home is seen as an investment of sorts, wemonth for principal and interest.
all like the idea of buying when values are rising. I amBut what if you had bought at $200,000 and put
writing this in early 2009, and no, home values not10% down? Then your payment on the $180,000
only are not rising in most areas, but they don't seemloan would have been $912. That's right, you would
to have stopped falling.be paying $220 more each month if you waited and
We just bought a home anyhow, and there arebought at the lower price. That amounts to $77,200
several reasons why we felt comfortable doing so.more that you would pay over the thirty years if
The first is that prices don't seem to be falling muchyou stayed in the house that long ($79,200 more in
in our area (Canon City, Colorado). Apart from thepayments, but you saved $2,000 on the down
various foreclosures that are dragging prices down apayment). This demonstrates the importance of the
bit, the market here is much more stable than ininterest rate in determining your true cost.
other parts of the country. A stable job base andPersonal Situation
the fact that prices never rose too far too fastIs it a good time to buy a house, then? That
during the "boom times" helps.depends not only on prices and their direction, and
The real estate market does not act the samenot just on interest rates, but on where you are
everywhere in the country. So to see if a bottom isfinancially. How secure is your income? If you lost
near or if prices are rising, pay close attention toyour job, could you make the house payments for
what is happening where you are. On the other hand,six months while you looked for another? Can you
we did not buy counting on rising prices, becausecount on finding another job that will provide enough
that is not the only determining factor. In fact, it isincome to pay for the house? Are you going to be
possible that the problems in the country will getstaying in the area long enough to justify buying
worse and drive prices down 10% or 15% even here.(renting can often make more sense if you will be
So what else made us decide that for us it was amoving within a few years)? These are the more
good time to buy a house?difficult questions to answer, but perhaps the most
Interest Ratesimportant in determining if it is a good time for YOU
At the moment you can get fixed rate 30-yearto buy a house.
mortgage loans at about the lowest interest rate in